Tatyana Deryugina (Twitter: @TDeryugina)

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Weather forecasters

Posted 28 Apr 10 by Tatyana

A few years ago, I heard someone say that weather forecasters always overstate the chances of rain. The reasoning is that people are REALLY unhappy if it rains when the forecast calls for sun and only slightly unhappy when it doesn’t rain although the forecast says otherwise.

I generally agree with that reasoning, but there is a limit. This week, the Boston forecasters overstepped it. They’ve forecasted rain starting on Sunday morning. There was no rain on Sunday or Monday. In fact, it was quite sunny. I brought my bike inside both nights, silently swearing as I maneuvered it up the stairs while trying to open the three sets of doors between the outdoors and my apartment. To be fair, it did rain Monday night, but by Tuesday morning it was clear again. Yet weather.com relentlessly kept forecasting rain.

Of course, by Tuesday afternoon, I didn’t really care what weather.com said. I decided that my method of looking at the sky in the distance was far more reliable. I jumped on my bike and went to play tennis (indoors, because we thought it was going to rain). As you can guess, when I came outside, the ground was wet and rain was coming down.

I hope these are not the same guys who are in charge of deciding whether or not there’s global warming.


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